Wonderful work you’re doing here. Reading this and your last post about the project, I was struck how much you could benefit from using some the narrative capture techniques from Dave Snowden’s work with the Cynefin framework (yes, that’s a Welsh word that should have some resonance!)

Your categories of predetermined, uncertain, and wildcard fall nicely into Dave’s concepts of the simple/complicated, complex, and chaotic domains. I can’t do the framework justice in a blog post comment field, but the methods have to do with the stimulation of narrative for the purposes of sensemaking a complex space. Software tools (SenseMaker) are then used to capture the results and allow us to analyze the narrative spaces and belief structures of the participants.

You’ve already stimulated the narrative and captured wonderful stories. Now you need a series of methods to signify the narrative and make sense of the resulting patterns.

Would love to share more or link you up with another CE practitioner. Dave’s articles on sensemaking are a good place to start…